Wednesday, December 17, 2008

Raef's Contract Part 1


Scoring Contest

As a way of continuing to make this blog even cooler (and yes I did just use the “blog” and “cool” in the same sentence).  I have decided to get you guys involved more.  From now on, I encourage you to post what you think the score will be on that day’s game on the game preview post.  I know some of you are wondering why you would waste your time, SO let me let you know what you will win.  I will tally up who is the closest/wins the most over a two week period, and that winner can either write a post for this blog, or choose a topic for Goose and I to write about.  I thought this would be kind of a cool prize, cause we both know that I am too cheap to buy anything worth receiving for the prize.  Let me know what you guys think, or if you can think of any other prizes that you would like.  I look forward to seeing your entries tomorrow!

 Raef's Contract Part 1

Ok, now onto my topic for the day.  I would like to start a multipart post about Raef LaFrentz and his expiring contracts, and how it will affect our roster in trades and free agency. 

First, let me start with the basics.  Every year in the NBA there is what’s called a salary cap.  This is the maximum an organization can pay their players without going into the dreaded “luxury tax”.  Currently the salary cap is at $58,680,000.00 and the Blazers are at $82,371,043.00, which puts us $23,691,043.00 over.  The $23.69 mil is considered the “luxury tax”.  The penalty for going over the salary cap, and into the luxury tax, is a $1 for $1 payment to the league for every $1 over the cap.  So, this season Paul Allen has to write a check to the NBA for $23.69 mil.  Now you know why so many owners are trying to get under the cap.  Good news for Paul though is that, not only does Raef’s$12.72 mil come off our salary after the season, but so does Steve Francis’ $17.18 mil.  Now some of you might ask, why is Francis’ still on our books, I thought we got rid of him?  Well we did, but in the form of a buyout.  You might have heard the term buyout floating around Stephon Marbury and the New York Knicks.  This is essentially a negotiated value (almost always less then the remainder on the players guaranteed contract), which is then spread out evenly over the remaining years of that players contract.  Stick with me now, so we bought out Francis (who had 2 years and 39 mil left on his contract) for 34.36 mil.  Since he had two years remaining on his contract, we divided the 34.36 buyout amount by 2, and that is why he is on the books this year for 17.18 mil. 

Sorry for the random tangent on Francis, but I thought it was important to explain why expiring contracts are so valuable.  This is also why it is such an issue if Darius Miles comes back onto our books, because if proven healthy we would have to pay him 9 mil not only this year, but next as well.  But back to Raef’s contract, the reason it has even more value is the insurance policy on the contract.  Because Raef had rotater cuff surgery before the season, and is likely to miss almost all of the season, the insurance will pay for 80% of his contract, leaving the team who owns the contract only paying $2.5 mil of his $12.75 mil. 

Now I know this stuff is boring and mundane for some of you, but this is the kind of stuff that makes me tick.  But for your sake I will bring it back around, and pose a question to you.  What would you like to see the Blazers do with Raef’s contract?  Just sit on it, and wait for it to expire and pick up a free agent this summer?  Make a trade, with Raef and some of our young talent?  If so,s then for who?  These are all topics that I will cover later in other parts of my discussion of Raef’s contract, but I want to see what you guys think.  Maybe I will even use and discuss some of your ideas in my future posts.  So please, have at the comment section, I want to hear your thoughts!

6 comments:

  1. One idea that would address two issues for the blazers, both the idea that we dont exactly have a "stud" PG and a lack of veteran leadership, would be to get Chauncey Billups. Now I haven't even convinced myself on this yet but I thought id bring it up as at least something to think out loud about. Yes Billups is getting old, and yes he has four years left on his contract, and yes he did just get traded to Denver where he is happy to be back at home...But with that being said, it does seem like billups would fit a lot of the requirements we would be looking for out of a PG, he can stroke, he plays good D, and he has been to the finals and has a ring, so he definitely knows how to win. Once again probably not a viable acquisition but just something to think about since LaFrentz and Billups contracts are about the same (within a mil of eachother). Most likely though, i would just like us to sit on it and get a nice free agent in the summer, who all is available in 09?

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  2. Billups would be the one player I would want as well for all the reasons Ryan said. I don't think it will happen, but it could really help us. As for the free agents in '09 here is a breakdown:

    http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/columns/story?columnist=ford_chad&page=09FreeAgents-081113

    With cap space available I just don't see many players available that we would be willing to pay big bucks for. David Lee is restricted. Maybe Mike Bibby. I want to see a large portion of the cap space used to ink Roy and Aldridge for the next 5 years though.

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  3. Well, the good news about David Lee is the Knicks most likely won't resign Lee to anything too large, with their hopes to keep their cap room open for the 2010 summer.

    But Matt, no need to worry about keeping cap room open for Roy and Aldridge. They have a team option for next year, with their salaries being roughly 8 mil combined next season. After that is when they will eligible for extensions. But the good news is any team can go over the cap to resign their own players. So even if we use all of our cap room next year, we will be able to resign Roy and Aldridge no matter what, just depends on how much Paul Allen wants to spend on the aforementioned luxury tax.

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  4. Yuck, lee is not a player i would want anyways...kyle what are your thoughts on billups? or are you waiting fo your next article to discuss?

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  5. I still say go after mike bibby. He is a good guard that we could get. i would love to get billups, but i dont think there is any chance he is gonna leave denver. Also jason kidd i think is somebody worth looking at. He has been on the decline lately and is pretty old. but signing him to a short contract to get some experience on the team would help alot in my opinion. alot like we did with scotty pippen. plus jason kidd and nate have already worked together since they were both on the olympic team this summer.

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  6. I think that waiting to see who becomes available this summer will be the best option. Of course we won't know the calls that KP will be getting for offers, but I think this current trend of shedding salaries will continue in a big way. Blazers have a wealth of young, cheaper talent and the salary exemption to go with it. I think we will be suprised at the quality that will be available.
    KP is holding alot of the cards, and can wait it out if nothing comes along.
    I think looking out east will be where the most likely canidates will come from. No one wants to make a trade to make the blazers better out west.

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